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  • KONG Chuiliu, WANG Ying
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(4): 1387-1413. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-4618-9
    This paper investigates the adaptive tracking control problem for Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) systems with quantized observations, explicitly focusing on reference signals composed of non-periodic sequences. The authors propose an adaptive tracking control scheme integrating an adaptive controller with a stochastic approximation-type estimation algorithm. Different from the control scheme for Finite Impulse Response (FIR) systems, the estimation part not only estimates the unknown system parameters but also the unknown system outputs. Next, based on the certainty equivalent principle, the adaptive controller is designed using the above two estimates instead of the actual parameters and system outputs. To tackle the inherent coupling between the two estimates, the authors introduce a novel approach that combines the Lyapunov function method with a backward-shifted polynomial method featuring time-varying coefficients. This approach assists in establishing the mean square convergence of the estimates with a convergence rate of $O\left(\frac{1}{k}\right)$ under suitable conditions of the step size coefficient. Additionally, this paper shows that the designed adaptive control law can achieve asymptotically optimal tracking of non-periodic reference signals in the mean square sense. Finally, a numerical simulation is presented to validate the theoretical results obtained in this paper.
  • DONG Hailing, SUN Liying, XIAO Mingqing, LIU Zhaobo, SONG Yuanzhuo
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(4): 1414-1435. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-025-4311-4
    In this paper, the authors address the problem of almost sure polynomial stabilization for a class of highly nonlinear stochastic systems via sampled-data feedback. The considered systems fall within a general framework that includes two key features: (a) Continuous-time irreducible Markov chain- the authors introduce a continuous-time irreducible Markov chain to describe systems that can undergo sudden alterations in their parameters and structures. This flexibility allows us to model real-world scenarios more accurately; (b) Diffusion and drift coefficients with polynomial growth - unlike existing literature that primarily focuses on systems with bounded delays, the authors investigate the stabilization conditions for highly nonlinear stochastic systems with pantograph delay, an unbounded delay. Specifically, the authors analyze systems where the diffusion and drift coefficients satisfy a polynomial growth condition. To achieve the proposed goal, the authors employ $M$-matrix theory and Lyapunov functions as basic tools. The main results establish that the system can attain almost sure polynomial stabilization through a subtly and innovatively designed sampled-data feedback. The authors validate the theoretical findings with numerical simulations, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed approach. This work contributes to the understanding of stabilization in highly nonlinear stochastic systems, particularly those with unbounded delays, and broadens the practical applicability of stochastic modeling.
  • ZHONG Xiaojing, ZENG Jiaxin, XIANG Wendi, CARABALLO Tomás, DENG Feiqi, PENG Yuqing
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(4): 1436-1462. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-025-4372-4
    To explore the impact of various groups and methods on rumor propagation, the authors propose a 'Double-Refutation $(DR)$ and Double-Blocking $(DB)$' rumor control strategy. This strategy combines external refutation via media reports, internal refutation by counteracting individuals, and both continuous and impulse blocking methods. By leveraging multi-synergy and aiming to minimize control costs, the authors propose stochastic optimal hybrid control strategies for rumor containment. Additionally, to enhance the response speed of the control strategy, the authors introduce an ensemble learning algorithm as a substitute for theoretical solutions. Numerical simulations demonstrate that the trained ensemble learning control algorithm can quickly identify sub-optimal control strategies for rumor spreading, with costs only 4.1% higher than those of the optimal control theory.
  • 王琛博, 纪志坚
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(5): 1395-1412. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240557
    文章从拓扑结构的角度研究了基于一致性协议的符号多智能体网络的能控性.首先, 基于拉普拉斯矩阵的特征向量和领导者-跟随者结构, 得到了无向符号拓扑能控的代数充要条件. 依此条件, 对于通过连接两个子拓扑得到的合成拓扑, 提出了两种连接能控子拓扑来构造能控合成拓扑的方法. 此外, 基于不能控的无向符号拓扑,首次定义了同符号双重能控性破坏节点(same sign double controllability destructive nodes, SSDCDN)和逆符号双重能控性破坏节点(inverse sign double controllability destructive nodes, ISDCDN), 通过分析这些节点的特征得到了能控性在多领导者无向符号拓扑图上的充要条件. 最后, 在已有结论的基础上, 提出了两种特殊类型的不能控符号子拓扑与能控符号子拓扑连接形成能控合成符号拓扑的设计方法.
  • 樊剑英, 魏云捷
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(5): 1474-1492. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250009
    中国的政策实施和能源产业技术演变对于全球应对气候挑战具有非常显著的影响. 中国经济发展水平和资源禀赋分布在不同地区间存在一定“资源错配”现象, 由此导致中国能源产业技术发展的分布结构和演变路径也存在地区间差别. 文章基于全球-中国多区域综合评估模型WITCH-China, 量化研究选取的中国30个地区的能源产业技术发展及其碳排放的最优演变路径, 并对其能源产业技术优化演变进行综合评价. 研究发现: 一是政策情景下煤炭和石油消费呈现显著下降趋势, 风电和太阳能消费大幅上升, 非化石能源消费占比将在2050年首次超过化石能源; 二是碳排放量随着化石能源消费的下降而逐渐减少, 但由于能源效率的提升和清洁能源技术的普及, 碳排放量的下降幅度逐步趋缓; 三是不同地区在能源消费结构的变化趋势上存在明显差异, 清洁资源富集地区, 如青海、新疆、内蒙古、甘肃等, 其在清洁能源方面的发展潜力较大, 风电和太阳能的清洁替代潜力最为显著. 最后, 文章对中国能源产业发展及其最优路径提出相关政策建议.
  • 赵珍, 古丽斯坦·库尔班尼牙孜, 孟丽君, 田茂再
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(5): 1738-1756. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250494
    文章提出一类误差自相关的空间变系数自回归模型. 该模型在空间变系数框架下, 同时引入响应变量的空间相关性与误差项的空间相关性, 共同刻画了空间数据的异质性与依赖性, 从而更全面地反映空间数据的复杂特征. 为克服模型的内生性问题, 融合局部线性估计、广义矩估计(GMM)和截面最小二乘估计方法, 提出一种有效的三阶段估计方法并推导了估计量的渐近性质. 蒙特卡罗模拟结果表明, 在有限样本下所研究模型的估计方法具有良好的有效性. 基于波士顿房价数据的实证分析进一步表明, 该模型显著提升了对空间经济现象的解释力.
  • CHEN Xinyi, LI Yiliang, ZHANG Lijun, CUI Yanjun, FENG Jun-e
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(3): 895-914. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-4413-7
    This paper applies the Cheng projection to the support vector machine (SVM) in handling missing data. In the process of handling missing data, each sample with missing values is replaced by its Cheng projection in the original space. Additionally, two classification algorithms for handling linearly separable and nonlinearly separable datasets with missing data are presented. For linearly separable datasets with missing data, Cheng kernel function is introduced, and an SVM classification algorithm that improves the linear kernel function to the Cheng kernel function is proposed. For nonlinearly separable datasets, a generalized Gaussian Radial Basis Function kernel is introduced and an SVM classification algorithm for handling missing data is given. For both algorithms, two comparative experiments are conducted to demonstrate their effectiveness.
  • ZHANG Jiao-Yang, FAN Huijin, FANG Xinpeng, LIU Lei, WANG Bo
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(3): 915-946. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-4595-z
    Both actuator faults and time delays degrade the performance of control systems. Although fault-tolerant mechanisms are commonly used in advanced control systems, no results are available in investigating the adaptive tracking problem of stochastic nonlinear time-delay systems in the presence of Markovian jump actuator faults. After establishing some mathematical fundamentals for stochastic differential delayed equations with multi-Markovian switching, this issue is tackled in this article, by proposing a novel adaptive backstepping fault-tolerant controller. Uncertainties caused by random actuator faults, unknown time-varying delays, the Wiener noise of unknown covariance as well as the unknown plant parameters are handled skillfully in a unified stochastic framework. By constructing a suitable Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional, it is proved that all closed-loop signals are bounded in probability, and the tracking error can converge into an arbitrarily small residual set in the sense of mean quartic value. In addition, the range of reference signals is greatly enlarged by comparison with the conventional backstepping controller. Two simulation examples are presented to illustrate the proposed theoretical findings.
  • YU Shuangshuang, NING Zheng, CHEN Ge
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(3): 947-963. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-5006-1
    In recent years, artificial cilia have attracted widespread research interest due to their enormous application prospects in the fields of medicine and environmental therapy. Deformation is a key issue to consider in the design and preparation of artificial cilia, however the corresponding mathematical analysis is still lacking. This paper introduces a multi-agent model for the magnetic artificial cilium, where each agent denoting a bead is influenced by the external magnetic field and neighboring agents. Then, the authors provide the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the proposed model, and give a stability condition for avoiding magnetic chain breakage and collisions between adjacent magnetic beads. To our best knowledge, it is the first mathematical result on the stability of magnetic bead chain. Finally, simulations are conducted to verify the proposed theoretical result.
  • HONG Yiguang, FENG Jun-e, ZHANG Lijun, QI Hongsheng
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(2): 481-482. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-6002-1
  • LIN Zhonghao, ZENG Xianlin, HOU Jie, SUN Jian, CHEN Jie
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(2): 483-510. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-5499-7
    This paper presents a primal-dual prediction-correction (PD-PC) method for solving linearly constrained time-varying convex optimization problems, which frequently arise in control, signal processing, and online learning applications. The proposed method establishes a novel integration of primal-dual gradient dynamics with a discrete-time prediction-correction structure, specifically designed for problems with time-dependent linear constraints. A tunable memory parameter is introduced in the prediction phase to perform linear extrapolation using past iterates, enabling a flexible trade-off between the amount of historical information stored and the computational cost of correction. In the correction phase, primal and dual variables are updated via gradient descent-ascent iterations, thus maintaining the computational efficiency of a first-order method without requiring Hessian or high-order derivative computations. Theoretical analysis shows that the method achieves $\mathcal{O}(h^2)$ asymptotic tracking accuracy for both primal and dual variables, matching the state-of-the-art performance among first-order methods even in unconstrained settings. Numerical experiments on problems with both time-invariant and time-varying constraints validate the theoretical findings and demonstrate the method's effectiveness.
  • LIN Liquan, HUANG Jie
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(2): 511-524. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-5466-3
    The cooperative output regulation problem for unknown linear multi-agent systems has been studied by both policy-iteration method and value-iteration method via distributed internal model approach. However, the original results were limited to single-input single-output linear multi-agent systems under the assumption that the communication digraph is acyclic. Recently, the authors have extended the existing result to multi-input multi-output linear multi-agent systems over a general static and connected digraph by a more efficient value-iteration method. Since the policy-iteration method is simpler and has a much faster convergence rate than the value-iteration method, in this paper, the authors further apply the policy-iteration method to the cooperative output regulation problem of unknown multi-input multi-output multi-agent systems over a general static and connected digraph. Compared with the existing policy-iteration method, the proposed policy-iteration approach not only drastically reduces the computational cost, but also significantly weakens the solvability conditions. Moreover, by introducing a virtual exosystem, the proposed policy-iteration approach eliminates the need for employing a distributed observer. As a result, the data collection can start at any time, and the computing cost for each agent is also reduced.
  • 康吉嘉, 杨晓光
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(4): 1039-1063. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms241052
    利用2009年至2023年华证ESG评级数据, 文章检验上市公司ESG评级对企业下一年度在股价、财务和经营三个方面的风险水平的影响. 研究发现, 较好的ESG评级对企业未来一年三项风险水平均有显著的抑制作用. 具体地, 对于股价崩盘风险, 高于基准水平的ESG评级作为一种强烈的市场信号对企业股价崩盘风险水平的降低更显著; 投资者关注程度高的个股, ESG降低企业股价崩盘风险作用更强; 此外, 在《环境保护法》实施后ESG和股价崩盘风险的负向关系更加显著. 而对于财务风险, ESG对于企业财务风险的降低具有边际递减效应, ESG评级从低到中的提高能够改善企业财务风险水平, 但随着ESG评级进一步的提高, 该作用变得不显著; 同时,企业自愿披露非财务信息行为强化了 ESG 对于财务风险的抑制作用. 对于经营风险, ESG评级降低经营风险作用同样具有边际递减效应; 同时股权性质对ESG评级降低经营风险有调节作用, 相比于私企, ESG评级对国有企业经营风险的抑制作用更强. 文章基于企业年限长短的分样本异质性检验结果显示, 对于成立年限长的企业, ESG评级对风险的抑制作用更强, 而对于成立年限短的企业则较弱.
  • 李悦, 张永杰, 沈德华
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(4): 1064-1085. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240621
    文章基于东方财富股吧论坛投资者行为数据, 利用有效转移熵方法, 探讨股吧论坛在股票市场中的媒介作用更能表征投资者关注还是情绪. 研究发现: 1) 股吧论坛中的投资者关注向股票市场传递的信息流更有价值, 能够更精准地表征投资者行为; 2) 帖子净评论数作为投资者关注的重要指标, 与股票市场强相关, 显著影响个股波动率, 且这一影响可持续一个月; 3) 在不同情绪(积极、中立、消极)的帖子中, 投资者关注均能传递可预测个股波动率的信息流, 而投资者情绪向市场传递的信息流缺乏显著的信息增益价值. 文章进一步强调了股票论坛捕捉投资者关注的媒介作用, 特别是帖子净评论数的独特预测价值, 为投资者提供了分析在线股票论坛数据的新视角. 未来研究应聚焦于更全面的数据整合与深度挖掘, 以提升市场预测的准确性和投资决策的科学性.
  • 王湘玉, 李可强, 孙婷, 田琼, 刘鹏, 王鹏飞
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(4): 1278-1294. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240529
    文章关注汽车充电服务供给端, 构建以政府、运营商、第三方平台(下称平台)为主体的分散(即运营商和平台以自身利益最大化为目标)和集中(即运营商和平台以二者整体利益最大化为目标)两种充电服务运营决策微分博弈模型. 研究发现: 在收益分配比例固定的均衡状态下, 相较于分散决策模式, 集中决策模式可提高运营商与平台的努力程度、服务质量及社会效益; 当平台较为弱势而收益分配占比较低时, 采用集中决策模式可实现运营商和平台收益的帕累托改进; 当平台较为强势而收益分配占比较高时, 采用分散决策模式可使运营商和平台收益增加. 这表明随着平台由弱变强, 汽车充电服务供给的决策模式或将从集中转向分散, 此时政府的政策支持比例将提升, 社会效益和服务质量反而下降.
  • 王梦洋, 黄一
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(3): 685-708. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240991
    文章针对一阶线性不确定系统,研究了以饱和函数和以ReLU函数为激活函数的循环神经网络控制器的稳定性和鲁棒性.给出了闭环系统收敛到非零目标值的必要条件以及指数稳定的充分条件,定量刻画了状态初值、目标值以及对象未知参数鲁棒性范围与控制器参数之间的关系,分析结果表明,以ReLU函数为激活函数的RNN控制器的鲁棒性更强.
  • 皇甫玉斌, 王璎熳, 孙祎婉, 董祚继
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(3): 773-795. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250069
    注册制是中国资本市场发展的关键改革,推行询价制改革,旨在将定价权更多交由市场主体,提升新股定价效率.因此,围绕注册制下的IPO定价效率评价和询价制改革效果的系统性研究备受关注.文章基于双边随机前沿模型测度2016–2023年A股2365家上市公司IPO定价效率,并验证注册制下询价制改革对IPO定价的系统性影响.研究发现,2016–2023年A股市场首发定价中抑价效应强于抬价效应,整体定价低于合理水平7.06%,且在不同板块、年份、所有制形式和破发与否的条件下有其明显特征区别.询价制改革整体推高了股票首发定价,主要由股票市场内科创板依靠板块特性独自拉动,而其他板块则呈现下降趋势.在注册制推广阶段,科创板和创业板存在明显竞争,主板改革效果并不明显.同时,梳理出询价机构数量和报价有效性两种路径来解释其影响.最终,文章依据研究结论为监管部门询价制改革方向提出针对性建议.
  • 周梦雨, 王芝皓, 慕娟, 田茂再
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(3): 1011-1025. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250117
    稀疏性是高维建模过程中一个重要的假设,即在处理高维回归分析中,往往只有少部分变量对响应变量具有显著影响,这便是稀疏性的体现.文章在变系数模型的基础上,结合变量选择,针对纵向数据提出具有混合效应的变稀疏系数分位回归(VSCMEQ)模型,其中待估系数函数使用B样条估计,通过对随机效应和固定效应施加惩罚来研究相关重要因素(变化效应、常数效应)的影响.最后通过应用原发性胆汁性肝硬化(PBC)数据进行建模分析,得出在不同分位数下对患者疾病进展(生物指标)的重要因素影响.
  • 左传, 颜敬倍
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(2): 337-347. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240705
    文章考虑由两个供应商和一个零售商构成的供应链,其中一个供应商为供销一体型,另一个为纯供应商.在该系统中,零售商从纯供应商进行补货并在其供应中断时从供销一体型供应商进行紧急补货.文章主要讨论在纯供应商发生供应中断且供应中断结束时间随机情形下零售商的紧急补货决策和该情形下供销一体型供应商的零售价格决策问题.对此,基于供应链各成员效益最大化,建立了一个优化模型,并通过模型分析给出了模型的最优解,从而给出了供应链各成员的最优决策.数值实验讨论了主要参数对零售商紧急补货量和供应商零售价格及双方效益的影响.
  • 潘珊珊, 戴倩倩, 尚盼
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(2): 348-363. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240586
    趋势滤波是一种广泛应用于从时间序列数据中提取长期趋势和去除短期噪声的方法.为了准确捕捉潜在趋势的全局变化规律和局部波动,文章基于刻画稀疏性的本原函数提出带复合$\ell_0$约束的广义趋势滤波(L0CTF)模型并分析其最优性理论.复合$\ell_0$函数的组合属性和不可分性导致求解L0CTF模型是一项极具挑战的任务.为此,基于复合$\ell_0$约束的特点,文章将L0CTF模型转化为含第一类特殊有序集的混合整数规划问题并分析其与L0CTF模型在全局最优解意义下的等价性.最后,在模拟数据集和真实数据集上的实验结果表明,所提方法在提取潜在趋势方面优于主流的趋势滤波方法.
  • 宋锴
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(2): 616-624. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240318
    在工程实际中,通常难以获得单个部件的精确失效时间,相反地,仅仅知道部件失效的次数和系统运行的总时长,即聚合寿命数据.基于此种数据对寿命分布进行推断是十分具有挑战性的.文章提出了基于矩的点估计方法,并采用偏差校正Bootstrap方法来构建感兴趣量的置信区间.极大似然方法需要写出聚合寿命数据的似然函数,这仅对少数几个具有卷积运算封闭性质的分布才适用.与之相比,所提方法规避了似然函数,因此能适用于更多的分布类型.最后,文章通过模拟研究和实证分析对所提方法进行了验证和说明.
  • 论文
    徐翔, 赵越
    计算数学. 2026, 48(1): 1-29. https://doi.org/10.12286/jssx.j2025-1349
    本文旨在探讨时谐波动方程反源问题的一些研究进展,并建立一般情形下反源问题的稳定性理论.我们针对确定和随机波动方程的散射模型,总结已有理论和数值结果并阐明研究思路.
  • 闫志华, 唐锡晋
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(1): 1-16. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23886
    为了对冲突事件进行结构化表示,识别事件的逻辑关系,发现事件演变规律和影响事件发展的关键节点,文章基于在线媒体新闻数据构建标准语料库,使用融合注意力机制和依存句法分析的图神经网络解决冲突事件抽取存在的事件要素长距离依赖问题,使用基于RoBERTa的fine-tuning方法解决隐性事件关系识别问题,提出冲突事件本体模型、冲突事件知识图谱的自动化构建框架和关键路径识别算法.结果表明,冲突事件识别算法SGAEE和基于RoBERTa微调的事件关系识别算法均优于对比算法,覆盖重要节点的最少路径识别算法MPCCN可以识别出影响冲突事件发展的关键事件和关键路径.文章提出的冲突事件知识图谱构建方法可以实现对冲突事件进行多层次和多视角的分析,帮助专家掌握冲突事件发展脉络,提高决策的全面性和科学性.
  • 王玟方晴, 胡涛, 邱明悦
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(1): 255-271. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240618
    在火工品可靠性设计和评估中,高效准确地估计感度分布的参数及分位数至关重要.文章采用贝叶斯方法,建立感度数据的半参数广义线性模型,利用Hamiltonian Monte Carlo算法进行后验推断,并借助偏差信息准则和对数伪边际似然,以数据驱动的方式筛选“最优"模型.模拟比较验表明所提方法在小样本情况下可以获得感度分布参数的准确估计.最后,实际数据分析验证了新方法的有效性,并为感度数据的分析提供了一种替代和补充的建模工具.
  • 李玲, 孙中华, 张元婷
    系统科学与数学. 2026, 46(1): 300-308. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240521
    Duadic码是一类重要的循环码,构造最小距离具有平方根下界的duadic码是一个有趣的研究问题.文章提出了两种构造最小距离具有平方根下界的odd-like duadic码的构造方法,得到两类最小距离具有平方根下界的odd-like duadic码.
  • ZHU Liping, XU Wangli, LI Yingxing
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(1): 1-2. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-6000-3
  • DONG Yuexiao, LI Lei
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(1): 3-16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-5408-0
    The authors extend the marginal coordinate test for predictor contribution (Cook, 2004) to the case with multivariate responses. Instead of explicitly specifying the link functions between the responses and the predictors, an asymptotic test is proposed under the normality assumption of the predictors as well as an asymmetry assumption about the unknown regression mean function. When these assumptions are violated, the asymptotic test with elliptical trimming and clustering is still valid with desirable numerical performances.
  • WANG Chuhan, HUANG Jiaqi, LI Xuerui
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2026, 39(1): 17-37. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-026-4608-y
    This paper examines whether the parametric regression model is correctly specified for both source and target data and whether the regression pattern in the source domain aligns with that of the target domain. This evaluation is a critical prerequisite for applying model-based transfer learning methods under covariate shift assumptions. Traditional regression model checks and two-sample regression tests are insufficient to address this issue. To overcome these limitations, the authors propose a novel adaptive-to-regression test statistic that is asymptotically distribution-free. Under the null hypothesis, the test follows a chi-square weak limit, preserving the significance level and enabling critical value determination without resampling techniques. Additionally, the authors systematically analyze the test’s power performance, highlighting its sensitivity to different sub-local alternatives that deviate from the null hypothesis. Numerical studies, including simulations, assess finite-sample performance, and a real-world data example is provided for illustration.
  • 窦晓亮, 薛蔚, 閤鑫, 蔡仁杰, 牟必强, 薛文超
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(12): 3715-3727. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250492
    液压作动器广泛应用于工业控制系统中, 其精确的位移控制对系统性能至关重要. 传统的物理建模方法难以准确捕捉液压作动器的非线性和时序特性, 限制了其在复杂环境下的应用. 文章提出了一种基于长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络的液压作动器位移建模方法. 通过采集电压输入和位移输出的时序数据, 使用LSTM网络对液压作动器的动态行为进行建模. LSTM网络能够有效捕捉数据中的长期依赖关系, 适应液压系统的非线性时序特性. 在模型训练过程中, 采用均方误差作为优化目标, 并通过实验验证了LSTM网络的有效性. 实验结果表明, 相较于传统方法LSTM网络在测试集上取得了更低的预测误差, 具有更强的建模能力和较高的精度.
  • 李梦, 王正琪, 高昊宇
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(12): 3787-3809. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240597
    自创区作为引领创新发展的重要引擎, 以体制机制改革和政策先行先试为出发点, 辐射带动周边区域创新协调发展. 高铁网络的逐步完善为“双循环”打开新格局, 扩大了自创区创新溢出作用的范围. 文章基于2008-2019年中国高铁城市对数据, 采用多期双重差分法, 系统研究开通连接到自创区城市的高铁后对普通城市创新水平的提升效果和作用机制. 研究发现, 开通连接到自创区城市的高铁后能显著提高普通城市创新水平, 自创区城市的创新溢出作用对东部地区城市、创新环境较好的城市和大规模城市的效果更明显. 机制检验表明, 自创区城市的创新溢出效应通过利用创新禀赋、政府引导创新和示范带动效应三个方面实现. 文章为高铁网络化背景下自创区城市发挥示范带动作用, 进一步优化创新资源空间配置和加快发展新质生产力, 实现经济高质量发展提供了经验证据和政策启示.
  • 汤惠云, 李扬, 王菲菲
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(12): 3972-3987. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240383
    当今时代,数据资源日益呈现出多源化的特点,即数据由不同的主体或来源方所持有.对多源数据进行融合开发是激活数据要素潜能、释放数据资源价值的前提和基础.然而,大部分多源数据仍然以“数据孤岛”的形式存在,数据间的互联互通仍然十分困难.与此同时,数据安全问题备受关注,如何在保护数据隐私的前提下实现多源数据的安全开发变得尤为重要.为了解决上述问题,文章提出了一种基于隐私保护的多源数据分析范式.该方法依托纵向联邦学习框架,允许各数据持有方在不暴露各自原始数据的前提下协作完成数据分析任务.与此同时,为了进一步防止攻击者对数据的恶意攻击, 文章在纵向联邦学习框架中引入差分隐私,通过在传输信息时加入噪声以保护个体隐私.最后,文章以工商管理中的企业违规风险预测为例展示了上述方法的实际应用效果,通过结合工商部门、市场监督管理部门、法院等多个部门的数据,提升了企业违规风险预测的准确性.
  • ZHANG Jingjing, HEILAND Jan, WANG Yu-Long
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2025, 38(6): 2352-2369. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-025-5017-3
    In this paper, disturbance attenuation is considered for linear systems with partially modeled disturbance. The disturbance signal is composed of known signals and uncertain parameters that leads to some difficulties for solving the disturbance rejection problem. To overcome this issue, the original system is reformulated as a linear parameter-varying (LPV) system by absorbing the unknown parameters in disturbance. Then an adaptive state-disturbance-feedback controller relying on a dictionary of state-feedback gains and disturbance-feedback gains is designed to estimate the uncertain parameters in the LPV system. Moreover, the presence of multiple variables in the sufficient condition given to reject the external disturbance of the LPV system also brings challenges. To tackle this problem, the quadratic separation technology is applied into the sufficient condition, and the original unsolvable condition can be successfully transferred into a solvable one. Furthermore, by adding the known part of the disturbance signal into the feedback loop, more information of the whole system can be utilized. Meanwhile, the asymptotical stability of the closed-loop system can be achieved and the $H_\infty$ performance index of the closed-loop system is verified to be smaller. Numerical simulations are given to illustrate the merits of the proposed approach.
  • WANG Ruopeng, WANG Jinting, CHEN Junlin
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2025, 38(6): 2397-2427. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-025-3287-4
    The authors consider a two-period joint inventory and pricing decision problem for a retailer facing strategic customers with behavioral preferences such as reference dependence, loss aversion and risk preferences. The authors develop and analyze a model that accounts for customers' these behavioral preferences as well as value depreciation on the product, and makes predictions on the retailer's optimal decisions. Moreover, the authors demonstrate how the presence of these behavioral preferences and primary parameters will leverage the retailer's optimal decisions. It is revealed that strategic customers' loss aversion behavior could benefit the retailer from pushing up the regular price, the stocking quantity and hence the expected profit. However, customer's value depreciation on the product will drive down these aspects. To alleviate the negative effect of the strategic customers' behavioral preferences, the authors suggest the retailer applying inventory commitment strategy and price guarantee policy, which could increase the retailer's profit beyond the rational expectation equilibrium level in some situations.
  • RUAN Yixiao, LI Zan, XIN Yan, YU Dan, HU Qingpei
    系统科学与复杂性(英文). 2025, 38(6): 2609-2642. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11424-025-4005-y
    How to evaluate the system reliability through the test data of components is one of the key challenges in the field of reliability. In this study, the authors focus on calculating the Bayesian lower credible limit. Although the approximation methods are widely used in reliability evaluation, how to apply them to the Bayesian context remains to be solved. Some previous studies have attempted to address this issue. However, their approaches might result in instability, and they have imposed significant constraints on component and system structures. A high-order saddlepoint approximation method for high accuracy is proposed, as well as a feasible procedure for determining the saddlepoint method's asymptotic variable. The proposed framework allows us to analyze the components following various posterior distributions without limiting the system structure. Numerical experiments on various systems are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method. In comparison, it consistently outperforms other commonly used approximation approaches.
  • 杨爽, 贾斌, 杨凯, 高大有
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(11): 3385-3403. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250296
    灾前规划应急设施和灾后抢修调度是提高城市道路交通系统韧性的关键策略.文章综合考虑受损道路位置、类型和修复工期多维不确定性以及抢修任务异质性,以应急设施覆盖率与系统综合韧性指标之和最大为目标,构建城市道路交通系统应急设施选址与抢修调度两阶段随机规划模型.根据所构建模型的结构特征,设计基于浓度集的样本均值近似算法.实验结果表明:文章提出的韧性最优恢复策略优于传统的随机恢复、边介数优先恢复、流量优先恢复和长度优先恢复策略,且基于浓度集的样本均值近似算法可以快速求解该问题.研究成果可为制定面向韧性提升的城市道路交通系统应急设施选址和抢修调度方案提供决策依据和算法支撑.
  • 陈强, 虞天鑫, 施卉辉
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(11): 3604-3618. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240181
    针对带有非匹配扰动和未建模动态的桥式吊车系统抗摆控制问题,提出一种基于未知系统动态估计器的滑模控制方法.通过引入一阶低通滤波器,设计未知系统动态估计器,补偿包括非匹配扰动在内的系统未知动态,提高系统抗干扰能力.构造基于两相幂次趋近律的滑模控制器,能较准确获得滑模变量的收敛时间,保证滑模变量具有较快的收敛速度.实验结果表明,所提控制方法能有效确保桥式吊车具有良好的抗摆性能和定位精度.
  • 肖遥, 覃红, 邹娜
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(11): 3702-3714. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms250058
    在试验设计领域,寻求有效的偏差下界是均匀设计理论研究中的一个重要方向.文章系统地研究了最新的均匀性准则——绝对偏差的下界问题,推导了对称平衡多水平设计的绝对偏差的一般性下界,并讨论了绝对偏差在两水平和三水平情形下的一些新的紧下界.这些关于绝对偏差下界的理论结果,可以作为评价设计均匀性的指标,也可作为构造均匀设计的基准.同时,文章提供了基于绝对偏差的均匀设计的构造方法.
  • 曹栋, 赵婕, 李汶蔚, 兰静妤
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(10): 3021-3031. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240232
    文章运用OP法和事件研究法, 探讨区块链技术应用对企业全要素生产率和股票价格影响, 分析企业区块链技术应用是否切实促进了企业全要素生产率的提高, 或只是为公司股价制造了更多的“泡沫”? 文章主要的结论有:区块链技术应用主要通过降低融资约束促进全要素生产率的提高, 且对于大型企业和国有企业全要素生产率的提升更大; 此外, 企业公告区块链技术应用后, 公司股票价格水平显著升高, 即公司能够从基于区块链技术的公告中获取更高的股票溢价.
  • 王淑影, 梅文娟, 马睿
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(10): 3267-3278. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms23685
    在实际研究中, 数据可能会来自不同分布, 用单一分布模型对数据拟合时会存在一定的局限性, 为克服这一问题, 运用混合模型可以更好地适应复杂的数据类型.指数分布与瑞利分布在可靠性分析中都是重要的寿命分布, 在删失数据背景下相关的混合模型研究较少, 文章提出双参数指数分布与双参数瑞利分布的混合模型, 并运用EM算法在右删失数据下对混合模型进行参数估计.同时进行大量的数值模拟研究, 验证了在有限样本下EM算法在所提混合模型估计的有效性.最后将模型运用到实际数据中, 并进行拟合优度检验, 验证了所提模型是合适的, 进一步说明该模型可以更好地适应复杂的数据特征, 具有一定的现实意义.
  • 李昂燕, 赵晨延, 陆利正
    系统科学与数学. 2025, 45(10): 3360-3370. https://doi.org/10.12341/jssms240532
    为插值指定的Frenet标架以及曲率和挠率, 提出空间五次F3插值曲线的构造及形状优化方法.空间曲线的F3连续是一种特殊的k阶Frenet标架连续, 可确保满足G2连续和挠率插值.首先, 构造一条插值F3数据的五次Bézier曲线, 其控制顶点包含两个表示曲线在端点处切矢长度的参数.然后, 通过最小化曲线的二次能量函数确定参数的最优值.最后, 定义目标函数为曲率和挠率加权平方和的积分, 提出另一种更优的形状优化方法.相比之前的G2插值方法, 新方法虽使用更严格的端点连续约束, 但总能生成曲率和挠率分布更满意的曲线形状.