At present, chat generative pre-trained transformer (ChatGPT) as a representative of the rapid development of large language models, is widely used in stock market investment, algorithmic trading, risk management and other fields. This provides financial investors with new decision-making tools and investment paths. In this paper, we construct an investment trading model based on the bidirectional encoder representation from transformers (BERT) model and chat generative pre-trained transformer (ChatGPT) for the Chinese stock market, and realize the trading signals from financial news text data and traditional financial data. For the text data, the daily financial news is captured and matched with the corresponding stock codes. Secondly, we input the news text data into the trained fine-tuning BERT (FTBERT) model to get the sentiment tendency of each news item, and select the positive financial news as the positive investment trading signals. For the traditional financial data, we use the advanced parsing capability of chat generative pre-trained transformer (ChatGPT) to analyze the historical data of Chinese stock market. By adjusting the prompt to read the data, the key factors for stock investment are constructed, and the daily scores of each stock are output. Finally, the daily investment signals of each stock are obtained based on different data types, which are used as the basis for constructing investment portfolios and building effective investment strategies. The empirical results show that chat generative pre-trained transformer (ChatGPT) effectively determine the sentiment tendency of text. The fine-tuned model can effectively assist quantitative investment and bring investors excessive returns. This study attempts to apply big language modeling to financial investment and shows its potential value in generating stock investment signals. With the continuous development of technology and changes in the market environment, this artificial intelligence-based investment strategy will continue to evolve and create more value for investors.

Bilevel Optimization recently became a very active research area. This is mainly due to its important applications from machine learning. In this paper, we give a gentle introduction to algorithms, theory, and applications of bilevel optimization. In particular, we will discuss the history of bilevel optimization, its applications in power grid, hyper-parameter optimization, meta learning, as well as algorithms for solving bilevel optimization and their convergence properties. We will mainly discuss algorithms for solving two types of bilevel optimization problems: lower-level problem is strongly convex and lower-level problem is convex. We will discuss gradient methods and value-function-based methods. Decentralized and federated bilevel optimization will also be discussed.

Large language models (LLMs) have powerful natural language processing capabilities. In this paper, we systematically review the recent literature in this field and highlight the new research opportunities that LLMs bring to text analysis in economics and finance. First, we introduce GPT and BERT, the two most representative LLMs, as well as a number of LLMs developed specifically for economic and financial applications. Additionally, we also elaborate on the fundamental principles behind applying LLMs for text data analysis. Second, we summarize the applications of LLMs in economic and financial text analysis from two perspectives. On the one hand, we highlight the significant advantages of LLMs in traditional text analysis scenarios, such as calculating text similarity, extracting text vectors for prediction, text data identification and classification, building domain-specific dictionaries, topic modeling and analysis, and text sentiment analysis. On the other hand, LLMs have strong human alignment capabilities, thus opening up entirely new application scenarios, i.e., acting as economic agents that simulate humans in generating beliefs or expectations about texts and making economic decisions. Finally, we summarize the limitations and existing research gaps that LLMs face in pioneering new paradigms of economic and financial text analysis research, and discuss potential new research topics that may arise from these issues.

The main purpose of this paper is using the elementary methods, the number of the solutions of some congruence equations and the properties of the classical Gauss sums to study the calculating problem of the fifth power mean of one kind two-term exponential sums, and give the exact calculating formula for it.

Existing research has shown that political crisis events can directly impact the tourism industry. However, the current methods suffer from potential changes of unobserved variables, which poses challenges for a reliable evaluation of the political crisis impacts. This paper proposes a panel counterfactual approach with Internet search index, which can quantitatively capture the change of crisis impacts across time and disentangle the effect of the event of interest from the rest. It also provides a tool to examine potential channels through which the crisis may affect tourist outflows. This research empirically applies the framework to analyze the THAAD event on tourist flows from the Chinese Mainland to South Korea. Findings highlight the strong and negative short-term impact of the political crisis on the tourists' intentions to visit a place. This paper provides essential evidence to help decision-makers improve the management of the tourism crisis.

This paper compares and analyzes the differences in stock pricing between news sentiment and social media sentiment in two different time dimensions, daily and monthly, using individual sentiment data from the Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices and trading data from the US stock market from 2010 to 2019. The empirical results indicate that social media sentiment performs better at the daily level than news sentiment, and news sentiment has a stronger explanatory power on stock returns at the monthly level than social media sentiment. Specifically, at the daily level, this paper constructs news sentiment factor and social media sentiment factor, and finds that social media sentiment factor still exhibits significant excess returns under the Fama-French five-factor model, while news sentiment factor no longer exhibits excess returns. In addition, social media sentiment factor can explain most market anomalies at the daily level, while news sentiment factor cannot. In order to investigate the reasons, this paper conducts a Granger causality test, indicating that the response speed of social media sentiment factor is 3 to 4 trading days faster than that of news sentiment factor. At the monthly level, this paper finds that news sentiment improves its ability to explain anomalies, while the explanatory power of social media decreases significantly. In addition, for volatility anomalies and idiosyncratic volatility anomalies, the monthly news sentiment factor has a significant explanatory power, while the explanatory power of the monthly social media sentiment factor is not significant.

In the background of the rise of the anti-globalization trend in the postepidemic era, China's economic development is expected to rely more on the increase in the degree of dependence on the pull of domestic demand, so the study on how to promote the level of consumption of the residents and the expansion of domestic demand is also becoming more and more critical. The deep integration of digital economic development and traditional industries can release a sizable "digital dividend", colossal energy, is the expansion of domestic demand, the realization of the "domestic cycle" of the critical potential driving force. Given this, based on the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) database, this paper constructs the digital economy development level index at the provincial level in China. It empirically examines the theoretical analysis and empirical test on the effect of digital economy development on residents' household consumption. The study finds that: (ⅰ) Digital economy development can promote residents' household and per capita consumption. This conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests. (ⅱ) The development of the digital economy can positively impact residents' consumption level, mainly through improving the quality of residents' income. However, optimizing the consumption environment is not the main reason for the digital economy to promote consumption.(ⅲ) From the heterogeneity analysis, digital economy development has a more noticeable effect on the consumption enhancement of regions with low unemployment rates and households with low labor costs. (ⅳ) This paper further discusses the impact of digital economic development on the consumption structure and finds that digital economic development makes it diffcult to enhance residents' subsistence consumption but significantly increases the developmental consumption expenditures of income groups at all levels and also substantially promotes the enjoyment expenditures of high-income households. The findings of this paper provide theoretical support and a decision-making basis for further utilizing digital economic development to release consumption potential.

This study investigates the relationship between climate change and systemic risk in China's financial system. First, it examines the responsiveness of systemic risk in the banking, securities, and insurance sectors to extreme climate events, assessing how different financial industries withstand such disasters. The findings confirm that certain extreme climate events can exacerbate systemic financial risk. Second, by constructing a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model, this study analyzes the impact of the performance of green and brown market stock indices on the systemic risk of financial sub-sectors. The results indicate that in the short term, an increase in the risk of brown assets and a decrease in their indices significantly amplify systemic risk in the financial industry. However, in the long term, an increase in the brown asset index raises systemic risk in the banking sector, while an increase in the green asset index reduces systemic risk in the securities sector. Furthermore, a reduction in green asset risk significantly lowers systemic risk in the banking sector. In addition, this study underscores the importance of policies addressing the increasing frequency and severity of climate-related disasters. It recommends differentiated financial prudential regulations for green and brown sectors to minimize transition risks associated with climate policy implementation while mitigating physical risks. This approach is crucial to improve risk management frameworks in the financial industry, thereby reducing the impact of both physical and transition risks on systemic risk.

With the rising labor costs and increasing resource and environmental constraints in China, coupled with geopolitical conflicts, related industries or production processes are shifting to emerging economies such as Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Mexico. Among these, India's development potential has garnered significant attention, and the "China-to-India industrial relocation model" in the global industrial chain poses a greater impact and threat to China. This paper constructs a pre-quantitative model to measure the impact of industrial relocation on the home country. It designs three scenarios—Ultra-long-term, medium-to-long-term, and short-to-medium-term—And uses counterfactual analysis to assess the impact of India's absorption of China's industrial relocation on China's GDP and employment under different scenarios. The research results indicate that the relocation of industries from China to India will generate significant socio-economic shocks. In the ultra-long-term, this industrial transfer could lead to a 15.6% reduction in China's GDP, a 16.8% decrease in the overall income of the workforce, and a reduction in the number of employed people by 110 million. The impacts are also substantial in the medium-to-long-term and short-to-medium-term scenarios. By sectors, the relocation of low and medium-low R&D intensity manufacturing sectors has a significant impact on the Chinese economy in both the short-to-medium and medium-to-long term perspectives. The relocation of high R&D intensity manufacturing sectors, represented by the computer industry, also causes considerable negative effects on the Chinese economy in the ultra-long-term perspective. This quantitative analysis helps anticipate the economic impact of future changes in industrial layout on China's economy and facilitates the development of preemptive strategies. Based on the medium-to-long-term international economic outlook and the characteristics of domestic regional and industrial economic development, we propose three policy recommendations to provide scientific reference for decision-making by relevant government departments.

This article aims to explore the impact of the internet on income inequality among rural households. Through the analysis of data from China Family Panel Studies, it is found that although the internet can significantly alleviate the inequality in total income and wage income among rural households, its effect on alleviating inequality in entrepreneurial income is limited, and it may exacerbate inequality in household property income. Based on this finding, this article analyzes the mechanism of its impact from the perspective of household income sources, revealing that the internet mainly reduces the wage income gap by pulling rural labor force into the non-agricultural sector, thereby alleviating household income inequality. Meanwhile, households with original capital accumulation are more likely to benefit from the internet, which exacerbates property income inequality. In addition, this article introduces the causal forest algorithm and, from the perspective of human capital, analyzes the heterogeneous effects of the internet on individual-level inequality in wage income and property income among rural households. The results show that the alleviation of wage income inequality is mainly manifested in households with low human capital, while the exacerbation of property income inequality is mainly manifested in households with high human capital.

In the digital economy, the emergence of digital currencies has attracted considerable attention from both investors and researchers. However, their high volatility characteristics present new challenges in investment decision-making and risk assessment. To capture the characteristics comprehensively, this paper proposes a novel approach for constructing confidence regions for interval-valued variables based on the exponentially decay weighted bootstrap. The coverage area of the confidence regions and tail quantiles provide new indicators for assessing the volatility and tail risks in the market. Empirical results using Bitcoin as a case study demonstrate the proposed approach outperforms other traditional point-based methods such as exponential weighted moving average in measuring the uncertainty and intraday price volatility. Furthermore, the derived tail quantiles exhibit superior predictive performance for tail risk compared to Value-at-risk methods and the exponential weighted moving average, as evidenced by various tests. The proposed methodology not only contributes a new statistical tool for analyzing digital currency volatility but also provides novel perspectives for extreme risk management in financial markets.

Financial Technology (FinTech) combines financial, inclusive and technological aspects. Under the new development pattern, promoting China's common prosperity cannot be separated from the support of FinTech. Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2011 to 2020, this paper first constructs the common prosperity index from the three dimensions of development, sharing and sustainability, and then examines the impact and function mechanisms of FinTech development on China's common prosperity. The results show that FinTech development can significantly promote China's common prosperity. Further analysis reveals that the coverage of FinTech has a more significant promoting effect on China's common prosperity, and the promotional effect of FinTech development is more obvious on the sustainability of common prosperity, followed by development and the weakest sharing. The results of mechanism analysis show that FinTech development can promote human capital accumulation, enhance marketization, promote the development of the circulation industry, boost residents' consumption, and thus contribute to China's common prosperity by smoothing the domestic circulation. Heterogeneity testing indicates that there exists a regional Matthew effect in FinTech development, but this effect can be mitigated by increasing innovation activities. Therefore, this paper proposes to continuously improve the quality and efficiency of FinTech development, smooth the domestic circulation, strengthen the tilt of digital basic resources, and enhance regional innovation vitality, so as to make FinTech more effective in adding impetus to the realization of China's common prosperity.

This paper tests the profitability of the factor momentum strategy in the Chinese market, and gives a reasonable explanation for the source of excess returns of the factor momentum strategy. It is found that the factor momentum strategy can obtain significant excess returns in the A-share market, and the bull side contributes most of the returns of the strategy. After considering the control of multiple cross-sectional indicators, different economic states, and the use of different factor numbers as a factor sample, the return of factor momentum strategy is still significant. From the perspective of behavioral finance, this paper further finds that the lower investor sentiment, the higher the return of factor momentum strategy. In extreme market conditions, the return of factor momentum strategy is higher than that of stable market. This paper provides strong evidence for the feasibility of Chinese institutional investors' market timing based on factor momentum, and has some inspiration to enrich the value investment strategies of institutional investors.

This study investigates the impact of two types of FinTech developed and utilized by banks and non-bank financial institutions on fraudulent behavior in China's A-share listed companies. Based on panel data from 2011 to 2020, the research findings suggest that both types of FinTech can suppress corporate fraud by enhancing internal control levels and external monitoring levels. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the inhibitory effects of both FinTech types are more pronounced in companies with higher levels of digital transformation and lower levels of information disclosure. Additionally, due to differences in operating conditions, strategies, and objectives of FinTech developers, the inhibitory effect of bank FinTech is significant across all firms, whereas the effect of non-bank FinTech is only significant in high-risk firms. When distinguishing types of corporate fraud, both FinTech types significantly inhibit fraudulent activities related to information disclosure, fund utilization, and other categories. Further analysis reveals a complex interaction between the application effects of bank FinTech and non-bank FinTech. Specifically, the inhibitory effect of bank (non-bank) FinTech is significant when the development of other FinTech is high (low). By simultaneously incorporating both types of FinTech and their interaction terms, significant synergistic inhibitory effects are observed in fund misuse and other types of fraud. Finally, the results indicate that the synergistic development of both types of FinTech may introduce potential risks. In summary, this paper, by identifying the impact of FinTech development on corporate fraudulent behaviors, highlights the common characteristics and individual differences of different types of FinTech, emphasizes potential future cooperation opportunities between bank and non-bank FinTech, and points out potential risks in the development of FinTech.

The vigorous development of artificial intelligence (AI) is a key initiative to drive technological innovation, achieve industrial upgrading, and enhance the resilience of the Chinese economy. As one of the important applications of AI, industrial robots have transformed the production modes of traditional manufacturing industries by leveraging digital technologies and big data algorithms. Based on data from Chinese listed manufacturing companies on the A-share market between 2012 and 2019, this study explores the impact of industrial robot applications on the resilience of Chinese manufacturing firms. The research findings demonstrate that industrial robot applications significantly enhance firm resilience, which remains robust after a series of robustness tests. Mechanism analysis reveals that industrial robot applications enhance firm resilience through two mechanisms: Improving labor productivity and promoting technological innovation. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the positive impact of industrial robot applications on firm resilience is more pronounced in non-state-owned enterprises, firms with high technological compatibility, firms with high product technological complexity and regions with higher levels of marketization. This study adds new evidence to the study of the economic consequences of artificial intelligence and expands the literature on the influencing factors of firm resilience. This study also provides theoretical support and policy insights for enhancing firm resilience through artificial intelligence, thereby enhancing the resilience of the Chinese economy.

This article is based on the 2017 and 2019 China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) data. It conducts a systematic study on the impact and mechanism of commuting on residents' subjective well-being in China from urban-rural heterogeneity and demographic heterogeneity perspectives. Research has found that, firstly, the three aspects of commuting: i.e., commuting time, commuting distance, and commuting method have a significant impact on residents' subjective well-being. Commuting time has a significant negative effect on residents' subjective well-being. In contrast, longer commuting distance compensates for the negative impact of long-distance commuting on residents' subjective well-being by enhancing the utility of other aspects. Among commuting methods, at present, public transportation has the most significant inhibitory effect on residents' subjective well-being. Secondly, the analysis of the mechanism of action shows that the impact of commuting time, commuting distance, and commuting method on residents' subjective well-being shows substantial heterogeneity due to differences in regional location and individual characteristics. The impact is more significant in urban areas, eastern regions, high-priced housing areas, male residents, married residents, and residents with children. Thirdly, further exploring the external conditions that enhance the subjective well-being of residents through commuting, excessive construction of bridges, overpasses, etc., is not conducive to improving the quality of commuting but may damage the subjective well-being of residents.

Enhancing the welfare of the people is one of the core goals of high-quality development in China's new era. Digital financial inclusion plays a crucial role in improving the subjective well-being of Chinese residents. Utilizing the data from the China Household Finance Survey from 2013 to 2019, and integrating city tiers with municipal digital financial inclusion indices, this paper empirically investigates the impact of digital financial inclusion development on residents' subjective well-being using the ordered Probit model. The findings indicate that the development of digital financial inclusion significantly enhances the subjective well-being of residents. In terms of dimensions, its breadth of coverage and depth of use have a positive impact on residents' well-being, while the degree of digitalization has a negative effect. Moreover, the impact of digital financial inclusion development on subjective well-being varies significantly across different relative income and educational levels. Mechanism analysis shows that the development of digital financial inclusion enhances subjective well-being through three pathways: Improving residents' financial literacy, improving economic conditions, and enhancing social security levels.

Promoting enterprises to accelerate digital transformation is of great significance to enhance the core competitiveness of enterprises, empower the upgrading of traditional industries, generate new forms of business, as well as drive China's digital economy to become better and stronger. From the perspective of enterprises, this paper analyzes the antecedents of enterprises' digital transformation, constructs related indexes based on the text analysis method, proposes a two-factor theoretical model of manager characteristics and dynamic capabilities, and uses the structural equation model based on partial least squares estimation (PLS-SEM). The empirical results show that manager characteristics such as entrepreneurship, digital evangelist and coordinator, as well as corporate dynamic capabilities such as sensing, learning, integrating and coordinating, have a significantly positive role in promoting the tendency and output of digital transformation of enterprises. In addition, manager characteristics can significantly improve the level of enterprises' dynamic capabilities, and the effect of manager characteristics on enterprises' dynamic capabilities and digital transformation is moderated by managers' perception of policy uncertainty. In addition, the above effects are heterogeneous between state-owned and private enterprises, enterprises in the eastern, central and western regions, as well as enterprises in provincial and non-provincial capitals. This paper fills the research gap on the antecedents of digital transformation, and provide a feasible practical path for enterprises to cultivate managers in the digital era and improve their dynamic capabilities.

Utilizing the 2015, 2017, and 2019 China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) data, combined with the income transition matrix analysis method and empirical analysis method, this study systematically investigates the impact of digital finance on income mobility and income inequality among rural households. The income transition matrix analysis reveals that rural households using digital finance have a higher probability of upward income mobility compared to those not using digital finance. Empirical research has found that digital finance significantly promotes upward income mobility and significantly reduces income inequality among rural households. The mechanism of action indicates that digital finance enhances households' income mobility by improving financial accessibility, facilitating the accumulation of development factors, and promoting off-farm employment opportunities. Furthermore, compared to middle and high-income rural households, digital finance has a greater impact on financial accessibility, development factor accumulation, and off-farm employment for low-income rural households. This consequently reduces income inequality, showcasing the inclusive growth characteristic of digital finance. Further analysis reveals that digital finance primarily impacts rural households' property income and wage income through these three pathways, ultimately promoting overall income mobility and reducing income inequality among households. Both digital payments and digital wealth management significantly contribute to upward income mobility and the reduction of income inequality among rural households, while digital lending has a negligible impact. This study provides empirical evidence to support the enhancement of policies aimed at fostering sustained income growth for rural households and optimizing the rural income distribution pattern through digital finance.

Industrial policy has always played an important role in promoting industrial structure transformation and high-quality economic development. Based on the Five-Year Plan of the province level local governments and the micro-data of Chinese industrial enterprises, this paper constructs a staggered DID identification strategy to empirically analyze the impact of local key industrial policies on firms' TFP. The study found that local key industrial policies can significantly improve the TFP of enterprises through policy effects (financial subsidies, tax breaks, low-interest loans) and competitive effects. Further analysis shows that the way local key industrial policies formulated and implemented will have an important impact on the effect of industrial policies. The impact of local key industrial policies formulated combining with the regional comparative advantage, or implemented dispersedly is better. This study provides Chinese empirical evidence for the impact of industrial policies on firms' productivity, which can provide useful reference for the government to formulate and implement industrial policies and promote high-quality economic development.