Large language models (LLMs) have powerful natural language processing capabilities. In this paper, we systematically review the recent literature in this field and highlight the new research opportunities that LLMs bring to text analysis in economics and finance. First, we introduce GPT and BERT, the two most representative LLMs, as well as a number of LLMs developed specifically for economic and financial applications. Additionally, we also elaborate on the fundamental principles behind applying LLMs for text data analysis. Second, we summarize the applications of LLMs in economic and financial text analysis from two perspectives. On the one hand, we highlight the significant advantages of LLMs in traditional text analysis scenarios, such as calculating text similarity, extracting text vectors for prediction, text data identification and classification, building domain-specific dictionaries, topic modeling and analysis, and text sentiment analysis. On the other hand, LLMs have strong human alignment capabilities, thus opening up entirely new application scenarios, i.e., acting as economic agents that simulate humans in generating beliefs or expectations about texts and making economic decisions. Finally, we summarize the limitations and existing research gaps that LLMs face in pioneering new paradigms of economic and financial text analysis research, and discuss potential new research topics that may arise from these issues.

In order to explore how green technology innovation and the development of the digital economy can jointly promote green economic growth, this paper constructs a general equilibrium model that includes green technology innovation and digital transition. Combining with the real-world data at the city level in China, from the two aspects of economic growth and carbon emissions, it analyzes the impact and the mechanism of action of the digital economy collaborating with green technology innovation on green economic growth. It found that: 1) Green technology innovation has a "U-shaped" impact on economic growth and carbon emissions. That is, after exceeding a specific threshold of technological innovation level, with the continuous increase in the level of green technology innovation, the economic growth rate will continuously increase, and carbon emissions will continue to decrease. Moreover, the development of digital economy will strengthen the impact of green technology innovation, resulting in a steeper "U-shaped" relationship. 2) The development of economic digitalization has both mediating and moderating effects. Green technology innovation has a positive "U-shaped" impact on the development of the digital economy. That is, an increase in green technology innovation can promote the development of digital economy. In turn, the development of digital economy further moderates the impact of green technology innovation on economic growth and carbon emission reduction, strengthening the positive effect of green technology innovation on green economic growth. 3) The digital economy's enhancement of the impact of green technology innovation on green total factor productivity is the primary mechanism by which the digital economy, in collaboration with green technology innovation, drives green economic growth. 4) Policies to promote the development of economic digitalization need to be accompanied by higher carbon taxes. Although there are short-term economic costs, there are advantages in terms of long-term economic growth and environmental quality. This research combines the study of the green transition of economic development with that of digital transition, providing crucial theoretical support for the coordinated advancement of the green and digital transition of the economy to ensure stable economic growth.

Promoting enterprises to accelerate digital transformation is of great significance to enhance the core competitiveness of enterprises, empower the upgrading of traditional industries, generate new forms of business, as well as drive China's digital economy to become better and stronger. From the perspective of enterprises, this paper analyzes the antecedents of enterprises' digital transformation, constructs related indexes based on the text analysis method, proposes a two-factor theoretical model of manager characteristics and dynamic capabilities, and uses the structural equation model based on partial least squares estimation (PLS-SEM). The empirical results show that manager characteristics such as entrepreneurship, digital evangelist and coordinator, as well as corporate dynamic capabilities such as sensing, learning, integrating and coordinating, have a significantly positive role in promoting the tendency and output of digital transformation of enterprises. In addition, manager characteristics can significantly improve the level of enterprises' dynamic capabilities, and the effect of manager characteristics on enterprises' dynamic capabilities and digital transformation is moderated by managers' perception of policy uncertainty. In addition, the above effects are heterogeneous between state-owned and private enterprises, enterprises in the eastern, central and western regions, as well as enterprises in provincial and non-provincial capitals. This paper fills the research gap on the antecedents of digital transformation, and provide a feasible practical path for enterprises to cultivate managers in the digital era and improve their dynamic capabilities.

This paper introduces digital financial capability into the intertemporal decision model, constructs a theoretical analysis framework to explore the impact mechanism of digital financial capability on household wealth accumulation, and conducts an empirical test based on the data of China Household Finance Survey (CHFS). The research shows that digital financial capability can significantly promote household wealth accumulation in China, particularly for rural households and those with low education and low wealth levels. Mechanism analysis shows that increasing financial investment returns and promoting social interaction are two channels through which digital financial capability can improve household wealth accumulation. Further analysis shows that there are structural differences in the impact of digital financial capability on household wealth accumulation, which can improve the allocation of productive assets and financial assets, and reduce the holding of housing assets and other non-financial assets. The above research conclusions provide a new perspective to explain the accumulation of household wealth in China, and also provide a reference for the formulation of relevant policies to promote common prosperity.

In the process of low-carbon transition, enterprises require substantial financial support for related investments. Therefore, the effectiveness of carbon pricing policies depends on a well-functioning financial market. However, in reality, financial markets face various frictions that hinder the flow of capital, leading to inefficient allocation of resources. These frictions may affect corporate investment behavior, thereby weakening the implementation effects of carbon pricing policies. This paper, focusing on the issue of financing constraints, constructs an environmental-dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (E-DSGE) model incorporating a financing collateral constraint mechanism to analyze the impact of financing constraints on the effectiveness of carbon pricing policies and explores corresponding policy responses. The results show that: 1) From the perspective of environmental benefits, financing constraints weaken the "emission reduction effect" of carbon pricing policies, suppress corporate low-carbon investments, and reduce corporate emission intensity; 2) From the perspective of economic costs, financing constraints amplify the cost impact of carbon pricing on enterprises, restrict output growth, and increase the overall economic cost of the low-carbon transition; 3) Introducing carbon asset-backed loans as a complementary measure to carbon pricing policies can effectively mitigate the negative impact of financing constraints on carbon pricing policies; 4) Numerical simulation shows that financing constraints increase the proportion of carbon pricing-related costs in enterprises' total production costs from an average of 15.31% to 19.47% annually, while reducing the annual average scale of low-carbon investments by approximately 37%. Furthermore, providing more carbon asset-backed loans to high-emission enterprises can significantly enhance policy benefits. The conclusions of this paper are of great significance for improving mechanisms for green and low-carbon development and establishing a systematic climate policy framework.

In recent years, China's food delivery industry has undergone substantial growth, driven by the rapid expansion of the platform economy and the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic. Food delivery services have not only lessened customers' sensitivity to delays associated with in-person dining but have also generated increased market demand for merchants. It is noteworthy that the majority of merchants employ a centralized operational mode, which combines food delivery and dine-in services within a single establishment. However, certain merchants opt for a decentralized approach, wherein they establish dedicated food delivery outlets exclusively handling food delivery orders while maintaining an offline restaurant. To examine the impact of food delivery channels on merchant decision-making, this study establishes a dual-channel service system operating within a congestion-prone environment. It characterizes the equilibrium strategy of customers under the two operational policies and investigates how the quality of food delivery services affects merchant profits. Furthermore, the research reveals the optimal operational approach based on varying levels of delivery quality. The key findings of the study are as follows. 1) In the case of decentralized operations, the service capacity allocated to the food delivery channel by the merchant exhibits a non-monotonic relationship with its quality. This implies that higher food delivery quality may gradually prompt the merchant to shift its focus toward the offline channel. 2) Despite the fact that higher food delivery quality has the potential to attract more customers, the study surprisingly finds that improving food delivery quality may actually reduce merchant profits in both centralized and decentralized scenarios. 3) While decentralized operations may lead to decreased order processing efficiency, adopting this approach can effectively mitigate the cannibalization effect of the food delivery channel and result in higher profits, particularly when food delivery quality is high. Consequently, centralized mode is recommended only when the food delivery quality falls within an intermediate range. Additionally, we further validated the robustness of this conclusion from various perspectives, including marginal costs and delivery fees.

Gold and silver, due to their unique financial properties, have become preferred choices for investment and asset preservation. Accurately quantifying and predicting their price fluctuations is crucial for investors' risk management decisions. This paper introduces a rich set of feature variables and employs a forward rolling algorithm to forecast the realized volatility (RV) of gold and silver futures in Shanghai. We compare the performance of various machine learning models under different loss functions and evaluation methods. The results indicate that the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) models demonstrate superior performance in forecasting the futures market for precious metals. Furthermore, this study integrates the XGBoost model with interpretability tools to analyze the dynamic contributions of feature variables to the predicted values in the precious metals futures market. It also assesses the heterogeneous impact of significant variables on predictive performance. Our findings reveal the critical role of market sentiment variables, as well as the relative contributions of macroeconomic variables and volatility decomposition variables under different market conditions. The research provides clear evidence for the selection of factors and models in forecasting precious metal futures market volatility, offering credible investment and management recommendations for investors and regulators in this market.

In the context of the new era, the fundamental way to promote high-quality economic and social development is to improve urban development efficiency, and digital economy plays an important driving role in the process. This paper constructs a theoretical analytical framework for digital economy-driven urban development efficiency improvement, and empirically tests the impact of digital economy on urban development efficiency and spatial spillover effects using a spatial and temporal double-fixed spatial Durbin model. This paper finds that: Firstly, digital economy significantly contributes to urban development efficiency in the region and surrounding areas, and the finding still holds through a series of robustness tests. Secondly, digital economy contributes to urban development efficiency by enhancing social, economic and ecological benefits, but the enhancement is limited by the reduction of land benefits, while industrial integration, technological advancement, and urban-rural integration play an important role in its mechanism. Thirdly, the effect of digital economy in driving the improvement of urban development efficiency shows a non-linear trend of "downward and then upward" and spatial spillover characteristics. Fourthly, there is city-level heterogeneity and geographic-area heterogeneity in the impact of the digital economy on urban development efficiency, which means that the role of digital economy in driving urban development efficiency is more pronounced in cities with high administrative levels and large populations, as well as in the eastern and northern regions. The above findings imply that at present, China should take urban development efficiency as an important target to consider for the high-quality economic development, and take the development of digital economy as the main driving force to improve urban development efficiency.

In the numerous terrorist attacks that have occurred worldwide, various terrorist organizations have shown a trend of collaborative cooperation, posing significant challenges to international counter-terrorism efforts. Based on the global terrorism database (GTD), this study constructs a terrorist organization cooperation evolution network from 121,074 terrorist attacks that occurred globally from 2001 to 2018 and conducts a time-series topological structure analysis. Based on the characteristics of terrorist organization cooperation, the network is divided into time slices of three years each to model the flow patterns of terrorist communities at multiple scales. The analysis shows that the robustness of the terrorist organization cooperation network has been continually strengthening over time, which is necessary to develop corresponding strategies to disrupt it. Focusing on the largest connected sub-network within the terrorist cooperation network, whose influence is continuously expanding, this study proposes a community structure-based neighborhood centrality index (CSNC) to measure the importance of nodes in the largest connected component. Experimental results demonstrate that the network disruption strategy based on CSNC, in the process of disintegrating the terrorist cooperation network from 2001 to 2018, achieved a 16.45% maximum reduction in the R value compared to benchmark strategies, proving that the CSNC-based disruption strategy can more effectively dismantle terrorist cooperation networks.

In recent years, there have been more frequent disasters occurred in China, which pose significant threats to the lives and property of the people. To cope with the increasing complexity and severity of disasters, decision-makers need to store and dispatch emergency supplies rationally based on the real situation. Current studies on regional dispatch considering multiple warehouses and demand points are insufficient, and the problems such as ‘who/how/how much to dispatch’ have not been well-answered. To solve these problems, this paper proposes three regional dispatching strategies (including strict administrative hierarchy supply dispatch, cross-administrative hierarchy supply dispatch and free and nearest supply dispatch strategies) based on a comprehensive summary of relevant case studies, then builds a multi-agent simulation model based on deprivation cost. A simulation experiment is conducted in Mengcheng County, Bozhou City, Anhui Province, and the result shows that when the regional demand is large in a short time, the free proximity strategy can minimize the total social logistics cost. On the contrary, when the regional demand is small, the differences of the total social cost among three strategies are small. In conclusion, our research suggests that, when facing severe disasters and catastrophes, governments should cooperate and coordinate on the dispatching of relief supplies. However, when facing normal disasters without the risk of life, the demand can be satisfied with the strict administrative strategy.

Exploring the impact of uncertainty on the resilience of Chinese residents' consumption is of great practical significance for expanding domestic demand, smoothing the domestic cycle and economic recovery. By constructing a stochastic computable general equilibrium model of China's domestic demand market, this paper measures the impact of uncertainty shocks on the resilience of household consumption from the perspectives of aggregate and structure, and examines the guarantee mechanism of different policy combinations to expand the resilience of household consumption from the institutional perspective. The results show that income level is the most important factor affecting the resilience of residents' consumption, and the impact of multi-risk cross-infection on residents' consumption resistance is greater than the simple superposition of single factors, and the recovery shock may have a reverse impact on different economic indicators. The resilience of urban and rural residents' consumption is structurally different, and the recovery shocks on the supply side and the demand side jointly affect the resilience of the domestic demand market, among which excess supply will also cause a decline in economic benefits. To improve the resilience of household consumption and achieve the goal of expanding domestic demand, it is necessary to integrate the roles of the government and the market, and the policy guidance needs to focus on employment issues and realize the free flow of land and capital factors between regions. This paper further puts forward corresponding policy recommendations. This paper uses the method of calculable general equilibrium to explore the resilience of household consumption, which breaks through the limitations of local equilibrium in existing studies and comprehensively and systematically measures the resilience of household consumption. By introducing random numbers, the impact of uncertainty shocks on the resilience of household consumption is more effectively simulated, which provides more specific and detailed theoretical support and policy enlightenment for the expansion of household consumption.

Insufficient aggregate demand is the prominent contradiction facing the current economic operation, we must restore and expand consumption in a priority position. This paper empirically investigates the impact of the housing provident fund system on household consumption using data from three editions of the China Household Finance Survey in 2015, 2017, and 2019. The empirical results show that household contributions and withdrawals to the housing provident fund significantly increase household consumption levels and improve household consumption structure. Robustness tests show that the above conclusions remain robust after replacing the way the core variables are defined, replacing the instrumental variables, and relaxing the exclusivity constraints on the instrumental variables. The Heterogeneity analysis shows that the housing provident fund system has a greater impact on the consumption of housed, low-income, as well as young and middle-aged households. Further research finds that contributing to the housing fund reduces households' precautionary saving incentives, withdrawing from the housing fund increases households' disposable income and eases liquidity constraints, thereby boosting household consumption. This paper provides micro-level evidence that housing funds promote household consumption and improve household consumption structure, which can provide important references for relevant policy formulation.

China's high-quality development and carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals both require an overall consideration to economic benefits and environmental cost. Transnational investment promotes the reconstruction of global industrial and supply chains, which also leads to dispute of environmental responsibilities under the accounting of economic benefits based on the ownership principle and the accounting of carbon emission based on the territorial principle. In this paper, we employed an inter-country inter-industry input-output database that distinguishes the activities of multinational enterprises (MNEs) and introduced counterfactual analysis and scenario analysis to evaluate impact of structural change in GVC on China's gross national income (GNI) and CO$_2$ emissions. There was significant industrial shift toward China from 2005 to 2016, boosting China's GNI and CO$_2$ emissions by 15.23% and 20.50% respectively compared to 2016 levels. For the future shift, the scenario analysis shows that compared with the relocation of GVC led by developed economies, the relocation led by China would yield lower negative impact on China's GNI when reducing same amount of China's CO$_2$ emissions. The negative impact on GNI and CO$_2$ emissions varies by sector initiating the relocation and by economy undertaking the relocation. Our analysis provides policy implications for China's future GVC relocation and high-quality development.

The Fast Multipole Method (FMM) is a highly efficient numerical algorithm for handling large-scale multi-particle systems, playing an important role in fields such as molecular dynamics, astrodynamics, acoustics, and electromagnetics. This paper first reviews the history of the Fast Multipole Method, then taking Helmholtz and Maxwell equations as examples, introduces the data structures, mathematical principles, implementation steps, and complexity analysis of the FMM based on kernel analytical expansion in two-dimensional and three-dimensional cases, and describes corresponding adaptive version of FMM. Finally, numerical experiments on multi-particle simulations in two-dimensional and three-dimensional spaces are given on the MATLAB platform.

In this paper, a nonnegative projection correlation coefficient (NPCC) is proposed to measure the dependence between two random vectors, where the projection direction comes from the standard multivariate normal distribution. The NPCC is nonnegative and is zero if and only if the two random vectors are independent. Also, its estimation is free of tuning parameters and does not require any moment conditions on the random vectors. Based on the NPCC, we further propose a novel feature screening procedure for ultrahigh dimensional data, which is robust, model-free and enjoys both sure screening and rank consistency properties under weak assumptions. Monte Carlo simulation studies indicate that the NPCC-based screening procedure have strong competitive advantages over the existing methods. Lastly, we also use a real data example to illustrate the application of the proposed procedure.

The open sharing of data resources is key to unlocking the value of data elements. Assessing the impact of government data openness on corporate sustainable development is of significant importance for promoting high-quality economic and social development. This paper uses the openness of government data as a quasi-natural experiment, taking Chinese listed companies from 2009 to 2022 as the research sample, and explores the impact of government data openness on corporate economic performance and environmental performance through the difference-in-differences model. The study demonstrates that government data openness has brought dual benefits to corporate economic and environmental performance, that is, government data openness has promoted corporate sustainable development. The reason is that government data openness can promote corporate technological innovation and improve the efficiency of corporate operation and management. Further research finds that the role of government data openness in promoting economic performance is more significant in state-owned enterprises, regions with a better business environment, and areas with better digital infrastructure conditions, while the enhancement of environmental performance is more fully demonstrated in state-owned enterprises, non-heavy polluting enterprises, and regions with higher environmental regulation intensity. This study reveals the role of government data openness in improving corporate economic and environmental performance, providing important empirical insights for promoting sustainable economic and social development and enhancing the scientific formulation of data openness policies in the context of "Dual Carbon" goals.

The integrated development of urban and rural areas is a symbol of the modernization of a country and region, and also an inevitable requirement of Chinese path to modernization. How to effectively measure its development process and level has become a hot issue of great concern in the academic community. This article aims to comprehensively review the relevant literature on measuring the level of urban-rural integration development from an economic perspective, clarify and define the concept of urban-rural integration as well as its four dimensions, including economic, social, spatial, and ecological integration. Then summarize the existing measurement indicators, methods, and regional comparative studies of the multidimensional integration level between urban and rural areas, and sum up the focus and characteristics of various studies. On this basis, further research ideas for the construction and measurement of the indicator system for urban-rural integration development are proposed from four dimensions: The connection between objective and subjective factors, the bidirectional flow of factors, the combination of macro and micro data, and the lower level of indicator construction. At the same time, we attempt to provide theoretical research references for policy formulation to improve the coordination and integration of urban and rural development in China in the new era, and to achieve the goal of common prosperity.

The accuracy of stock return prediction has a critical impact on investment decisions. The advent of deep learning models has markedly improved the accuracy of return forecasts. However, stock market sequences are often observed with anomalies that can distort key statistical measures, obscure the true trends of the data, and diminish the predictive capabilities of deep learning models. In extreme cases, these anomalies can result in erroneous investment decisions. Based on the presence of anomalies and the learning dynamics of gradient descent algorithms, this paper introduces a novel loss function, the threshold distance weighted loss (TDW), which is designed to mitigate the susceptibility of the model to outliers by assigning variable weights to data samples. The TDW loss function has been tested through simulation studies and empirical analysis. These evaluations have confirmed the improved predictive accuracy and robustness of the method, highlighting its potential to deliver consistent positive returns to investment portfolios and to bolster informed financial investment decisions.

Identifying and addressing various financial risks on the way toward low-carbon transition is crucial for China to achieve its dual carbon goal. By performing textual analysis of newspaper articles, this paper constructs a novel index of climate policy uncertainty for China to examine the impact of the climate policy shock on the corporate bond cost as well as the mechanism behind the relationship. From a climate policy-cash flow sensitive perspective, this paper develops a theoretical model of financing decision-making under climate policy uncertainty and empirically verifies the hypothesis with a dataset of Chinese-listed companies from 2009--2020. The results show that bond spreads of climate policy-sensitive firms are significantly higher than that of climate policy-insensitive firms, which indicates that climate policy uncertainty significantly deteriorates corporate bond costs in China. Moreover, this effect increases with the maturity of the corporate bond and the level of climate policy uncertainty and is more profound in firms with a negative sensitivity to changes in climate policies. The results also prove that internal environmental governance and external regulatory enforcement intensity are two key channels by which the climate policy shock can impact the cost of corporate bonds in China. This paper contributes to the research of climate finance by providing a theoretical framework and empirical evidence on the relationship between climate policy shock and corporate bond cost and thus is crucial for policymakers to understand micro-level financing and investment risk in China under the dual carbon goal.

This paper pioneers a novel approach to economic and public policy analysis by leveraging multiple large language models (LLMs) as heterogeneous artificial economic agents. We first evaluate five LLMs’economic decision-making capabilities in solving two-period consumption allocation problems under two distinct scenarios: With explicit utility functions and based on intuitive reasoning. While previous research has often simulated heterogeneity by solely varying prompts, our approach harnesses the inherent variations in analytical capabilities across different LLMs to model agents with diverse cognitive traits. Building on these findings, we construct a multi-LLM-agent-based (MLAB) framework by mapping these LLMs to specific educational groups and corresponding income brackets. Using interest income taxation as a case study, we demonstrate how the MLAB framework can simulate policy impacts across heterogeneous agents, offering a promising new direction for economic and public policy analysis by leveraging LLMs’ human-like reasoning capabilities and computational power.